The Punters Prerogative will review the Masters Golf Tournament this weekend, as horse punting opportunities are limited due to the Easter break. As with the betting of most golf tournaments the prices are pretty big if you are looking outside of the top 7 in the market. Plenty of value and triple figure prices are to be had and PaddyPower are paying to 6 places and will refund all losing bets if Tiger Woods wins the tournament. With that in mind - they are probably the only place to have a punt this weekend.
After careful consideration (I may regret this come Sunday evening) I have decided to leave Woods alone and instead look for some value American each way shots. My first pick is Matt Kuchar - he has 3 top 10 finishes over the past month and has rested up nicely missing the last two weekends of golf. Hopefully, this break means he will be fresh & hungry and at 60/1 he is easy to back. Next up for the yanks has got to be Steve Stricker - the Ryder Cup veteran is never far away and I am hoping he can card a few consistent rounds and be in the shake up come Sunday - at 50/1 he is a great e/w price.
For the Europeans I hope that Rory McIlroy can keep the devil at bay that cost him so dearly last year and claim the green jacket this time around, as he has proved he is a phenomenal talent since his late hiccup last year. However, I will not be having a punt on him and instead will place a small e/w on his fellow countryman GMac - McDowell is a huge price of 66/1 for a Major winner & I will have some of that.
The Rest of the World have some huge prices next to their names and I will be backing two Korean players who seem to be there or there about's in the big fields of the Majors - these are K.J Choi 60/1 & Y.E Yang 125/1. Another Asian player who will be getting some attention is Sang-Moon Bae 175/1, his first round pairing contains Tiger Woods and this will be a good indicator of how he will handle the pressure of the Masters. If he manages to card a decent first 9 I will punting on him too.
So this weekends selections are:
Matt Kuchar - 60/1
Steve Stricker - 50/1
Graeme MacDowell - 66/1
KJ Choi - 60/1
YE Yang - 125/1
Sang-Moon Bae - 175/1 (first 9 dependent)
The first round has or is about to tee off so get on quick - remember to use the Paddy Power as they have a great offer on - if you don't already have an account with them - please use the link provided to sign up and receive a bonus.
Happy Punting!
Thursday, 5 April 2012
Friday, 23 March 2012
Better late than never
I've left it late to add today's tips but here they are:
5.00 Newbury - Merry Vic 4/1 - 1 pt win
5.45 Sedgefield - Yorkist - 11/4 - 1 pt win
Some good cards forecast for today and tomorrow - and wonderful weather too.
We have added a new page and service to The Punters Prerogative, which will allow people to register for tips to be emailed to them. Just simply visit Punters Prerogative Sign Up Page which is on the top of this page on right hand side and register your details. Take a look at the Results page too - see how much profit we are running at so far!!
We will still be posting regular blogs on here with event reviews, free bets and tips - but if you want the advice emailed directly to you simply sign up.
Happy punting
5.00 Newbury - Merry Vic 4/1 - 1 pt win
5.45 Sedgefield - Yorkist - 11/4 - 1 pt win
Some good cards forecast for today and tomorrow - and wonderful weather too.
We have added a new page and service to The Punters Prerogative, which will allow people to register for tips to be emailed to them. Just simply visit Punters Prerogative Sign Up Page which is on the top of this page on right hand side and register your details. Take a look at the Results page too - see how much profit we are running at so far!!
We will still be posting regular blogs on here with event reviews, free bets and tips - but if you want the advice emailed directly to you simply sign up.
Happy punting
Monday, 19 March 2012
Cheltenham is over - Aintree is just over the hill......
Well Cheltenham Day 4 was a stinker for most punters - as none of the favourite's came in and most the winners were from outside the top 6 in the betting - which generally means the bookies won. Out of the 7 races on Friday, The Punters Prerogative did manage to predict one winner - Brindisi Breeze @ 10/1 - so not a bad return. The bookies may have won the battle but they haven't won the war!!
I was shocked to see Synchronised win the Gold Cup and I think it highlights that Long Run either wasn't as good as we all thought or that he has failed to progress from last years victory. Kauto Star has beaten him twice this season and then he has failed to beat Synchronised and the Giant Bolster home - I don't want to take too much away from AP McCoy & Synchronised as it was a fair result. Both trainer & jockey did well with their preparation to get him firing for the big day and I think most of the punters were blinded by all the Kauto / Long Run hype that they forgot about the rest of the field. However for the National, Synchronised is carrying top weight (11st 10lbs) - and will have to be very lucky & improve a lot to make the final placings, if Jonjo O'neil decides to run him!
The Grand National at Aintree is only a few weeks away and I am going to stick my neck on the line and predict the winner of the National and the possible place horses. This race is traditionally a follow the money race with many horses back from long odds to single figures before the off - therefore spotting the value and backing ante-post has its advantages. I am a firm believer in statistics when it comes to the big races and have compiled some useful hits and tips to remember when selecting your horse at Aintree. Statistics are there to be broken is what some say but I use them a lot when narrowing big runner fields down. The National will have 40 runners so it is vital to cut out the deadwood, so:
On current declarations the field will comprise of 20 horses with 11stone or higher so you can almost cut your options in half. Junior has been leading the betting and currently has 11st 2lb to carry, if as predicted many horses withdraw he will undoubtedly be saddled with even more - removing him from our equation the same with last years winner Ballabriggs who currently has 11st 9lb.
Those that do appeal with favourable weights assigned to them are Shakalakaboomboom & West End Rocker (both with 10st 12lb), and even more appealing is Champion trainers horse Niche Market (10st 5lb) who is almost a stone better off than West End Rocker on the Becher Chase form guide (but he is an 11 year old). Although being 11 years old - he is similar to Amberleigh House the last 11 year old to win the National in that he has raced the course last year and finished a respectable 5th place.
Of the Irish raiders, Prince de Beauchene (10st 6lb) is current leading the betting for the race, and Willie Mullins has On His Own (10st 11lb but is an 8 year old) entered to complete a strong hand. Ted Walsh has another interesting one which swerved Cheltenham last week in Seabass (10st 12lb).
After using the above elimination statistics I have whittled in down to Cappa Bleu, Chicago Grey, Prince de Beauchene, Seabass & West End Rocker of the horses with in the declared runners so far. However, I am almost certain that Welsh National Champion Le Beau Bai will get in to run and I really liked the way he ran at Chepstow back in January. Also his last effort when 3rd to Giles Cross at Haydock form is looking good too - unfortunately for Giles Cross he needs 21 horses to drop out to get a run. If and when Le Beau Bai gets in to the race his price is likely to tumble and will start less than 16/1 - so my advice is to find a bookie who is Non Runner No Bet on the National and back him each way.
When backing in a big field - I would always like to have statistics on my side - so ignore these at your peril.
Cappa Bleu - 20/1 @ Ladbrokes
Chicago Grey - 25/1 @ Ladbrokes
Prince de Beauchene - 10/1 @ Ladbrokes
Seabass - 20/1 @ Ladbrokes
West End Rocker - 20/1 @ Ladbrokes
.....................................................
NAP - Le Beau Bai - NRNB - 40/1 @ Ladbrokes
Happy punting.
I was shocked to see Synchronised win the Gold Cup and I think it highlights that Long Run either wasn't as good as we all thought or that he has failed to progress from last years victory. Kauto Star has beaten him twice this season and then he has failed to beat Synchronised and the Giant Bolster home - I don't want to take too much away from AP McCoy & Synchronised as it was a fair result. Both trainer & jockey did well with their preparation to get him firing for the big day and I think most of the punters were blinded by all the Kauto / Long Run hype that they forgot about the rest of the field. However for the National, Synchronised is carrying top weight (11st 10lbs) - and will have to be very lucky & improve a lot to make the final placings, if Jonjo O'neil decides to run him!
The Grand National at Aintree is only a few weeks away and I am going to stick my neck on the line and predict the winner of the National and the possible place horses. This race is traditionally a follow the money race with many horses back from long odds to single figures before the off - therefore spotting the value and backing ante-post has its advantages. I am a firm believer in statistics when it comes to the big races and have compiled some useful hits and tips to remember when selecting your horse at Aintree. Statistics are there to be broken is what some say but I use them a lot when narrowing big runner fields down. The National will have 40 runners so it is vital to cut out the deadwood, so:
- No 7 year old has won the National since 1940 (Bogskar, 1940).
- Only two horses aged 11 has won the race in 16 years (Red Marauder, 2001 & Amberleigh House, 2004)
- Only one horse aged 8 has won the race in 16 years (Bindaree, 2002)
- No horse has carried more than 11st 5lbs to victory since 1977 (Red Rum 11st 8lbs)
- Only two horses have carried more than 11st to victory in the last 26 races.
On current declarations the field will comprise of 20 horses with 11stone or higher so you can almost cut your options in half. Junior has been leading the betting and currently has 11st 2lb to carry, if as predicted many horses withdraw he will undoubtedly be saddled with even more - removing him from our equation the same with last years winner Ballabriggs who currently has 11st 9lb.
Those that do appeal with favourable weights assigned to them are Shakalakaboomboom & West End Rocker (both with 10st 12lb), and even more appealing is Champion trainers horse Niche Market (10st 5lb) who is almost a stone better off than West End Rocker on the Becher Chase form guide (but he is an 11 year old). Although being 11 years old - he is similar to Amberleigh House the last 11 year old to win the National in that he has raced the course last year and finished a respectable 5th place.
Of the Irish raiders, Prince de Beauchene (10st 6lb) is current leading the betting for the race, and Willie Mullins has On His Own (10st 11lb but is an 8 year old) entered to complete a strong hand. Ted Walsh has another interesting one which swerved Cheltenham last week in Seabass (10st 12lb).
After using the above elimination statistics I have whittled in down to Cappa Bleu, Chicago Grey, Prince de Beauchene, Seabass & West End Rocker of the horses with in the declared runners so far. However, I am almost certain that Welsh National Champion Le Beau Bai will get in to run and I really liked the way he ran at Chepstow back in January. Also his last effort when 3rd to Giles Cross at Haydock form is looking good too - unfortunately for Giles Cross he needs 21 horses to drop out to get a run. If and when Le Beau Bai gets in to the race his price is likely to tumble and will start less than 16/1 - so my advice is to find a bookie who is Non Runner No Bet on the National and back him each way.
When backing in a big field - I would always like to have statistics on my side - so ignore these at your peril.
Cappa Bleu - 20/1 @ Ladbrokes
Chicago Grey - 25/1 @ Ladbrokes
Prince de Beauchene - 10/1 @ Ladbrokes
Seabass - 20/1 @ Ladbrokes
West End Rocker - 20/1 @ Ladbrokes
.....................................................
NAP - Le Beau Bai - NRNB - 40/1 @ Ladbrokes
Happy punting.
Friday, 16 March 2012
It's Gold Cup Day - and time for Kauto Star to shine one last time
Well its the last day of Cheltenham and I still have clothes on my back!! It makes a change from the last few years, when I have struck out on the first day and lost my whole kitty. The war chest has ample funds in and I will be trying to 'Bash a Bookie' today with my selections below:
1.30 - Shadow Catcher
2.05 - Magnifique Etoile
2.40 - Brindisi Breeze
3.20 - Kauto Star
4.00 - Merchant Royal
4.40 - Gormanstown Cuckoo
5.15 - Astracad
On the big race I will be betting on a Combination Forecast & Tricast on the following:
1. Long Run
2. Kauto Star
3. Weird Al
12 bets @ 50p will cost you - £3
Good luck and happy bashing
1.30 - Shadow Catcher
2.05 - Magnifique Etoile
2.40 - Brindisi Breeze
3.20 - Kauto Star
4.00 - Merchant Royal
4.40 - Gormanstown Cuckoo
5.15 - Astracad
On the big race I will be betting on a Combination Forecast & Tricast on the following:
1. Long Run
2. Kauto Star
3. Weird Al
12 bets @ 50p will cost you - £3
Good luck and happy bashing
Thursday, 15 March 2012
2 days left to beat the bookie...
Well after Sprinter Sacre went in on the first day the bookmakers must have feared the worst and could see Tuesday 13th March becoming Black Tuesday - however, the clouds and fog over Cheltenham have cleared and the sun has definitely been shining on them for the best part of the week. But we are only at half time in the match and there is plenty of value to be had today.
Today is the shortest card of the festival with only 6 races coming up - but the first race looks a cracker and the field isn't too big either. Peddlers Cross swerved Sprinter Sacre in the Arkle and headed for this Grade 2 Listed Jewson Novices Chase, it looked a wise move after being beaten by him at Kempton last, and the way Sprinter Sacre hosed up here on Tuesday. That doesn't put me off Peddlers one iota and he normally runs his race around Cheltenham but the Irish challenger need to be respected too. Willie Mullins and Paul Nicholls haven't had a great week so far but this could be the turning point - Cristal Bonus has the familiar Walsh / Nicholls partnership and is a decent price - while Sir Des Champs is defending an unbeaten record for Davey Russell and Willlie Mullins. It will be close but I will plump for Peddlers Cross by a short head!
The Pertemps Hurdle is a 24 runner LOTTERY - so many of the big runner fields at Cheltenham are won by something with a big price and off a decent mark. I could make a case for pretty much all of these and spend all day justifying my selections but I won't - I will give you two that will hopefully make the frame. The first is Cape Tribulation, who has the same jockey & trainer combination as Cotton Mill who was tanking along in the Neptune Investment yesterday, before bizarrely throwing Denis O'Regan off coming over 2 out. He has somewhat of a patchy record at Cheltenham but his recent forms stacks up and is a big 20/1 e/w value. The second horse to note is Buena Vista - who does know how to win around Prestbury Park with 2 wins from 20 runs. Currently sitting 2nd in the betting at best priced 10/1, I hear you ask why, well already quite far down the weights Buena Vista will has 10lb claimer Thomas Bellamy on his back meaning he has 9st 13lb much less than the other 23 runners. As I've said already this is a Lottery so don't waste too much on this race!
The Ryanair Chase and the World Hurdle are the show piece events of Thursday at Cheltenham and they are proving to be tricky ones to pick the winner for. The 2.40 seems to be the most competitive and the most open in terms of betting, James Nesbitt's horse Riverside Theatre is currently top of the betting best priced at 5/1. I think this price will be shorter come the off as it combines yesterdays 81/1 treble winning combo of Geraghty & Henderson, the latter who actually had a 4 winners on the card!! No doubt Henderson has his stables in awesome form but I am going to oppose this favourite and go for some e/w value. Captain Chris & Alberta's Run form my two picks for this race. Alberta's Run is the two time champion of the Ryanair Chase having won this race in 2010 and 2011 - he is far too big a price at 10/1 for me and will be a real danger to the field, with Champion Jockey Tony McCoy in the saddle he will be close come the finish. The other bit of each way support is for Captain Chris who was 14/1 first thing this morning - now as short as 10/1. Phillip Hobbs has not had the best of weeks but he does fancy the Captain to show up on the day and Captain Chris is 2/4 around Cheltenham. The rest of the field all demand respect and Somersby rarely runs a bad race and fails to make the top 2!!
The last race to be reviewed is the World Hurdle and the global interest in this horse race will be amazing - Big Bucks is aiming for his 16th straight win and his 7th from 8 starts at Cheltenham. Ruby Walsh as ever will be in the saddle and albeit a fall this horse should not be beaten by any of the field. He is world class and has proven again and again that he is the best Hurdler ever to have graced the green and pleasant lands of England. With the way the other odds on favourites have cost the punters this week I think he may drift in the betting and the second favourite Oscar Whiskey will attract a lot of support. The leading trainer and jockey combination for the meeting features and if the tactics of the race unfold in Oscars favour I fear Big Bucks could get beat. Big Bucks is not a front runner and likes to stalk something and come over the last cruising - most thought that Celestial Halo would run in this to provide that bit of cover - but Nicholls opted not to and is anticipating Dynaste to go off like the clappers and try to win the race, just like in January. If this race plan does not unfold and Big Bucks is left up front you can bet that Oscar Whiskey will be on his tail and will try to nick it coming off the pace.
It promises to be an interesting one and either result will make the headlines of the papers tomorrow morning. I am going to risk it for a biscuit and go with Oscar Whiskey 5/1 to beat Big Buck, with a cover on the straight forecast BB to bt OW.
Advised:
1.30 - Peddlers Cross
2.40 - Captain Chris
Singles and e/w Double
1.30 - Cristal Bonus
2.05 - Cape Tribulation
2.40 - Alberta's Run
3.20 - Oscar Whiskey
Singles and Yankee e/w
Good luck as ever and I hope you get some winnings to beat the bookies with on Gold Cup Friday!! I'll leave you with a lovely quote from Churchill which I thought was quite apt going into Day 3
Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.
Winston Churchill
Today is the shortest card of the festival with only 6 races coming up - but the first race looks a cracker and the field isn't too big either. Peddlers Cross swerved Sprinter Sacre in the Arkle and headed for this Grade 2 Listed Jewson Novices Chase, it looked a wise move after being beaten by him at Kempton last, and the way Sprinter Sacre hosed up here on Tuesday. That doesn't put me off Peddlers one iota and he normally runs his race around Cheltenham but the Irish challenger need to be respected too. Willie Mullins and Paul Nicholls haven't had a great week so far but this could be the turning point - Cristal Bonus has the familiar Walsh / Nicholls partnership and is a decent price - while Sir Des Champs is defending an unbeaten record for Davey Russell and Willlie Mullins. It will be close but I will plump for Peddlers Cross by a short head!
The Pertemps Hurdle is a 24 runner LOTTERY - so many of the big runner fields at Cheltenham are won by something with a big price and off a decent mark. I could make a case for pretty much all of these and spend all day justifying my selections but I won't - I will give you two that will hopefully make the frame. The first is Cape Tribulation, who has the same jockey & trainer combination as Cotton Mill who was tanking along in the Neptune Investment yesterday, before bizarrely throwing Denis O'Regan off coming over 2 out. He has somewhat of a patchy record at Cheltenham but his recent forms stacks up and is a big 20/1 e/w value. The second horse to note is Buena Vista - who does know how to win around Prestbury Park with 2 wins from 20 runs. Currently sitting 2nd in the betting at best priced 10/1, I hear you ask why, well already quite far down the weights Buena Vista will has 10lb claimer Thomas Bellamy on his back meaning he has 9st 13lb much less than the other 23 runners. As I've said already this is a Lottery so don't waste too much on this race!
The Ryanair Chase and the World Hurdle are the show piece events of Thursday at Cheltenham and they are proving to be tricky ones to pick the winner for. The 2.40 seems to be the most competitive and the most open in terms of betting, James Nesbitt's horse Riverside Theatre is currently top of the betting best priced at 5/1. I think this price will be shorter come the off as it combines yesterdays 81/1 treble winning combo of Geraghty & Henderson, the latter who actually had a 4 winners on the card!! No doubt Henderson has his stables in awesome form but I am going to oppose this favourite and go for some e/w value. Captain Chris & Alberta's Run form my two picks for this race. Alberta's Run is the two time champion of the Ryanair Chase having won this race in 2010 and 2011 - he is far too big a price at 10/1 for me and will be a real danger to the field, with Champion Jockey Tony McCoy in the saddle he will be close come the finish. The other bit of each way support is for Captain Chris who was 14/1 first thing this morning - now as short as 10/1. Phillip Hobbs has not had the best of weeks but he does fancy the Captain to show up on the day and Captain Chris is 2/4 around Cheltenham. The rest of the field all demand respect and Somersby rarely runs a bad race and fails to make the top 2!!
The last race to be reviewed is the World Hurdle and the global interest in this horse race will be amazing - Big Bucks is aiming for his 16th straight win and his 7th from 8 starts at Cheltenham. Ruby Walsh as ever will be in the saddle and albeit a fall this horse should not be beaten by any of the field. He is world class and has proven again and again that he is the best Hurdler ever to have graced the green and pleasant lands of England. With the way the other odds on favourites have cost the punters this week I think he may drift in the betting and the second favourite Oscar Whiskey will attract a lot of support. The leading trainer and jockey combination for the meeting features and if the tactics of the race unfold in Oscars favour I fear Big Bucks could get beat. Big Bucks is not a front runner and likes to stalk something and come over the last cruising - most thought that Celestial Halo would run in this to provide that bit of cover - but Nicholls opted not to and is anticipating Dynaste to go off like the clappers and try to win the race, just like in January. If this race plan does not unfold and Big Bucks is left up front you can bet that Oscar Whiskey will be on his tail and will try to nick it coming off the pace.
It promises to be an interesting one and either result will make the headlines of the papers tomorrow morning. I am going to risk it for a biscuit and go with Oscar Whiskey 5/1 to beat Big Buck, with a cover on the straight forecast BB to bt OW.
Advised:
1.30 - Peddlers Cross
2.40 - Captain Chris
Singles and e/w Double
1.30 - Cristal Bonus
2.05 - Cape Tribulation
2.40 - Alberta's Run
3.20 - Oscar Whiskey
Singles and Yankee e/w
Good luck as ever and I hope you get some winnings to beat the bookies with on Gold Cup Friday!! I'll leave you with a lovely quote from Churchill which I thought was quite apt going into Day 3
Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts.
Winston Churchill
Monday, 12 March 2012
1 day and counting to the off.......
The Betdaq Cheltenham Preview at Kempton Park last Wednesday was well attended and I speak for all attendee’s when I say the panel were frank with their opinions and provided us with some great hints for the upcoming festival. I will say that the panel didn’t really stray from the obvious with their picks for the Big 12 races of Cheltenham – with most selections being close to even money. This is either very cowardly or they think that for once the bookies have got it spot on and priced the best horse at the head of the market accordingly.
They had opinions on a lot of horses but I have tried to summarise these into a coherent format - you will see the majority of tips for the big races below – the panel were also asked for a Nap of the week:
Tuesday
Supreme Novices – only 2 from 18 favourites have won this. Simonsig will go for the Neptune
BP – Vulcanite, Cinders & Ashes
PB – Vulcanite, Steps to Freedom
AT – Cinders & Ashes, Montbazon
PW – Darlan*
All the panel do not fear Darlan apart from the Tipster.
The Arkle – 1 from 10 favourites in the last decade have won The Arkle
BP – Sprinter Sacre, Sprinter Sacre & Cue Card S/fc
PB - Sprinter Sacre,
AT - Sprinter Sacre
PW - Sprinter Sacre
Al Ferof has no chance as too much of a stayer not enough pace.
Peddlers Cross will not run in this.
Champion Hurdle
BP – Hurricane Fly, Oscars Well – S/fc
PB - Hurricane Fly
AT - Binocular
PW - Hurricane Fly
1st day tips
AT – Giant bolster, Quantativeasing, Sizing Australia
NH - Triolo D’alene
BP – Tullamore Dew, Balthazar King, Alasi
Wednesday
Neptune – 1 from 10 favourites have won this in the last decade & NH has not had a winner or a place from 24 runners in this race!!
BP – Simonsig, Cotton Mill e/w
PB - Simonsig
AT - Battonier
Boston Bob will run in the Albert Bartlett
Mount Benbulben will run in the Albert Bartlett
RSA Chase – 5 from 10 favourites have won this race – An Irish horse has won the last 5.
BP – Bog Warrior (if ground is good)
PB – Grand Crus (will need softish ground)
AT –Invictus, First Lieutenant (if ground is good)
PW - Invictus
Queen Mother Chase – 10 from 11 defending champions have gone on to lose.
BP - Sizing Europe
PB - Sizing Europe
AT - Sizing Europe
Somersby will run in the Ryanair Chase
I’msingingtheblues is far to big a price at 66/1
All agreed this is the BANKER of the meet.
Champion Bumper – the panel decided that the winner will from Britain as all the Irish horses have been running on softish ground.
BP - Royal Guardsman
PW – Royal Guardsman
New Year’s Eve – Barry Geraghty to ride – his choice
Thursday
Ryanair Chase – Not one Irish owned horse has ever won this race – Only one favourite ever has won!
BP – Riverside Theatre, Captain Chris
AT – Somersby
PW – Alberta’s Run
World Hurdle – Most popular bet is Big Bucks to bt Oscar Whiskey Straight forecast which pays approx. 7/4
BP – Big Bucks, Voler la Vedette e/w @ 12/1
PB – Oscar Whiskey
AT – Big Bucks
PW – Big Bucks
3rd day tips
Jewson Novices
PW – Champion Court
AT – For Non Stop
Friday
JCB Triumph Hurdle – panel were keen to dismiss any Irish horses for this race.
BP – Balder Success
PB – Baby Mix, Pearl Swan
AT –Balder Success
PW – Saddlers Risk e/w, Shadow Catcher
Albert Bartlett
BP – Rocky Creek
PB – Boston Bob, Sivola de Sivola
AT – Boston Bob, Lovcen e/w
Gold Cup – 5 from 11 favourites have won this race & the winner has always come from the first 3 in the betting
BP – Long Run, Synchronised, Weird Al e/w
PB – Long Run
AT – Midnight Chase
PW – Long Run & Weird Al e/w
No-one was keen on Kauto Star and the impression was that he wouldn’t make the festival – however, all seems to have changed and Paul Nicholls is set to take him to Cheltenham.
Nap of the week
Paddy Brennan – Sivola de Sivola 25/1 NRNB with Victor Chandler – Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle
Brendan Powell Snr - Long Run & Tullamore Dew
Andrew Thornton - Boston Bob (Albert Bartlett)
PW – Champion Court (Jewson)
TD – Invictus, Darlan & Sizing Europe
Nicky Henderson – Triolo D’alene (Last race on first day).
Some words from Ruby on his rides this week
Tuesday, 6 March 2012
6 days and counting to the off.......
Today we will be looking at two other races for the first day at Cheltenham and there is another skinny one in the frame as 'Hurricane Fly' is another odds on shot favourite for the Champion Hurdle and it is difficult to see anything beating him. The bookies will be crying or laughing all the way to the bank depending on the results of 'Hurricane Fly' & yesterdays selection 'Sprinter Sacre'. Most bookies are offering special double prices but I have spotted some value with Paddy Power who are 10/11 for each selection but these prices will not be around on the day. The benefit of betting with Paddy Power is that they offer best odd's guaranteed - so if the price of the horses drift you will get the best odd's.
I can't remember an opening day of a festival when two odd's shots came in - but almost every pundit and tipster have had these two picks pencilled in for weeks. I am sure the bookies will be praying these two get beat but I think its about time the punters had some opening day luck.
Advised:
Hurricane Fly - 10/11
Double with Sprinter Sacre both at 10/11 - £10 pays £36.45
The final race I have a selection for on the Tuesday of Cheltenham is in the Cross Country Chase and I think there will be no surprises when I say 'Sizing Australia' has a real chance in this. Everyone I know that loves racing, knows how unpredictable the Cross Country Course is at Cheltenham - we only need to look back to the Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase on the 9th December when the majority of the field took the wrong course. Most shrewd punters will not touch this race with a barge pole but I really like how 'Sizing Australia' has shaped from his last few runs and can see him rediscovering the form that saw him win at Cheltenham last year. Plus I like to think I will be flush after the first couple of races!!
Taking the wrong course cost 'Scotsirish' his chance of victory back in December and that see him installed as the bookies 5/2 favourite. 'Sizing Australia' is currently best price 5/1 (widely available) and I think this is good value - don't get me wrong there are plenty of other horses worth mentioning and due respect - Enda Bolger's 'Garde Champetre' has finished in the first two at Cheltenham on no fewer than 10 occasions!! 'Chamirey' won the fiasco of a race back in December and must be credited - And anything that Willie Mullins sends to Cheltenham has half a chance....he could line up with three for this renewal. However, I have faith in Henry de Bromhead who seems to have his stable firing for Cheltenham every year and his two notable runners of the meet must surely go very close (Sizing Europe & Australia).
Advised:
Sizing Australia - 5/1 - Paddy Power
Advised multiple bet - £1 win Yankee returns £572:
Sprinter Sacre - 10/11
Hurricane Fly - 10/11
Sizing Australia - 5/1
Cinders & Ashes - 8/1
Already advised NonRunnerNoBet:
Cinders & Ashes - 8/1 widely available
Pearl Swan - 20/1 Victor Chandler
Sprinter Sacre to be Al Ferof S/fc
Please take advantage of the free bets available before and throughout the festival - I have added new links to the blog today:
BetDaq - £200 in free bets and only 3% commission
PaddyPower - £200 in free bets
SportingBet - £50 free bet
Betfred - £50 free bet
William Hill - Bet £25 get £25
Victor Chandler - £50
BlueSquare - Bet £25 get £25
Coral - £30 free bet
I would be happy to hear your comments and tips for the Festival and if you want to email me with your selections - feel free to: owen.pemberton@yahoo.co.uk
I can't remember an opening day of a festival when two odd's shots came in - but almost every pundit and tipster have had these two picks pencilled in for weeks. I am sure the bookies will be praying these two get beat but I think its about time the punters had some opening day luck.
Advised:
Hurricane Fly - 10/11
Double with Sprinter Sacre both at 10/11 - £10 pays £36.45
The final race I have a selection for on the Tuesday of Cheltenham is in the Cross Country Chase and I think there will be no surprises when I say 'Sizing Australia' has a real chance in this. Everyone I know that loves racing, knows how unpredictable the Cross Country Course is at Cheltenham - we only need to look back to the Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase on the 9th December when the majority of the field took the wrong course. Most shrewd punters will not touch this race with a barge pole but I really like how 'Sizing Australia' has shaped from his last few runs and can see him rediscovering the form that saw him win at Cheltenham last year. Plus I like to think I will be flush after the first couple of races!!
Taking the wrong course cost 'Scotsirish' his chance of victory back in December and that see him installed as the bookies 5/2 favourite. 'Sizing Australia' is currently best price 5/1 (widely available) and I think this is good value - don't get me wrong there are plenty of other horses worth mentioning and due respect - Enda Bolger's 'Garde Champetre' has finished in the first two at Cheltenham on no fewer than 10 occasions!! 'Chamirey' won the fiasco of a race back in December and must be credited - And anything that Willie Mullins sends to Cheltenham has half a chance....he could line up with three for this renewal. However, I have faith in Henry de Bromhead who seems to have his stable firing for Cheltenham every year and his two notable runners of the meet must surely go very close (Sizing Europe & Australia).
Advised:
Sizing Australia - 5/1 - Paddy Power
Advised multiple bet - £1 win Yankee returns £572:
Sprinter Sacre - 10/11
Hurricane Fly - 10/11
Sizing Australia - 5/1
Cinders & Ashes - 8/1
Already advised NonRunnerNoBet:
Cinders & Ashes - 8/1 widely available
Pearl Swan - 20/1 Victor Chandler
Sprinter Sacre to be Al Ferof S/fc
Please take advantage of the free bets available before and throughout the festival - I have added new links to the blog today:
BetDaq - £200 in free bets and only 3% commission
PaddyPower - £200 in free bets
SportingBet - £50 free bet
Betfred - £50 free bet
William Hill - Bet £25 get £25
Victor Chandler - £50
BlueSquare - Bet £25 get £25
Coral - £30 free bet
I would be happy to hear your comments and tips for the Festival and if you want to email me with your selections - feel free to: owen.pemberton@yahoo.co.uk
Monday, 5 March 2012
8 days to go til Cheltenham starts..........
........with the biggest week in jumps racing fast approaching - The Punters Prerogative will be running the tipping blog over the next 7 days. We plan to run a news column which will mainly focus on the star attraction 'Kauto Star' and his fight to make the line up for the Gold Cup.
The Punters Prerogative will have ante post tips for runners at the festival - but more importantly some nice sign up bonuses for new customers to betting sites.
So make sure you check back on a daily basis to keep informed of the best value bets for Cheltenham!
The Punters Prerogative will have ante post tips for runners at the festival - but more importantly some nice sign up bonuses for new customers to betting sites.
So make sure you check back on a daily basis to keep informed of the best value bets for Cheltenham!
Monday, 2 January 2012
New Years Resolutions........... Don't back losers
Yesterday I had the hangover from hell and it wasn't helped by my syndicates horse Knockeenonthedoor putting in a poor performance at Tramore. Although the ground was always against him - NetworkSixtyFive were hoping for a place at least but we will have to wait a few months before his next spin around a track. Hopefully he can mature a bit more and will act much better on a firmer surface.
My punting wasn't stunted by the mornings action at Tramore and I got stuck into the World Championship Darts and NFL action. Coming away with a very unlucky 3 out of 4 winners - showing a profit but robbed of a potential £200. Mr James Wade was the final leg and at 5 sets to 1 up against reigning champion Adrian Lewis I was counting my winnings!! Moral of the story - don't be greedy- 3 winners was sufficient - why I chased a 4th I don't know.
So leading me onto today's actions - I will be having one bet only and sticking to it. After being burnt on the darts last night I won't be trying my luck - my bet will be on this evenings football - Arsenal to beat Fulham @ evens with PaddyPower. Although Fulham mugged Liverpool of the points United thrashed them 5 nil and I expect the Gooners to win easily.
Suggestion - Arsenal Evens
My punting wasn't stunted by the mornings action at Tramore and I got stuck into the World Championship Darts and NFL action. Coming away with a very unlucky 3 out of 4 winners - showing a profit but robbed of a potential £200. Mr James Wade was the final leg and at 5 sets to 1 up against reigning champion Adrian Lewis I was counting my winnings!! Moral of the story - don't be greedy- 3 winners was sufficient - why I chased a 4th I don't know.
So leading me onto today's actions - I will be having one bet only and sticking to it. After being burnt on the darts last night I won't be trying my luck - my bet will be on this evenings football - Arsenal to beat Fulham @ evens with PaddyPower. Although Fulham mugged Liverpool of the points United thrashed them 5 nil and I expect the Gooners to win easily.
Suggestion - Arsenal Evens
Saturday, 31 December 2011
Knockeenonthedoor runs at Tramore on NYD
Those of you that know me well, will know that I am a part owner of a horse called Knockeenonthedoor. Myself and 64 other racing enthusiasts purchased the horse back in March 2011, with the help and guidance of Mr Henry de Bromhead. In fact the whole group syndicate was administered by Henry and his staff through social networking site Facebook. Until the first open day at the yard many of the group hadn't met Knockeenonthedoor let alone each other - all communication has been through Facebook and wall posts. This way all topics and discussions are done openly and fairly with everyone being able to voice their opinions.
So far, KOTD has had some harsh luck and we are hoping 2012 is his year to provide the Network Sixty-Five punters with some great chances to go racing.
His first race at Wexford was in tough maiden hurdle company and he was by no means disgraced coming in 7th to "Cash and Go" & "Scots Gaelic". The weather that day was pretty bad (but typical for Ireland in October!) due to the amount of rain etc the ground had more cut than we would have liked. For his first start under rules we were optimistic and took many positives from what we saw.
KOTD second start came at Navan and many of the horses from the Wexford race were opposing him again. This race was marred by Jim Feeney running out badly at the 2nd hurdle - thus leaving the 2nd placed KOTD to take up the running. This was not the plan and probably cost him the race, as we would have preferred him to be handy coming over the last - with the hope of nicking it. To his credit though he stuck at the task and was going well until falling at the 2nd last hurdle. I think I speak for all associated with KOTD when I say, we waited with bated breath for jockey Andrew Lynch and KOTD to rise from the turf. Again, the group as a whole were gutted to not finish and possibly nick a place. KOTD was not disgraced by almost making it all, and the form looks solid.
Tomorrow (NYD) will see the blue and white silks of Network Sixty-Five on course for the third time at Tramore. KOTD has had some much needed R&R following his excretions at Navan and Henry believes he is in fine form. If all goes well and he is handy coming over the last - he will receive the biggest cheer from all involved and will get the New Year off to a flyer!
No matter how bad your hangover maybe tomorrow - make sure you are up for the 12.05 @ Tramore - Sky Channel 415.
Come on Knockeenonthedoor and Happy New Year!
So far, KOTD has had some harsh luck and we are hoping 2012 is his year to provide the Network Sixty-Five punters with some great chances to go racing.
His first race at Wexford was in tough maiden hurdle company and he was by no means disgraced coming in 7th to "Cash and Go" & "Scots Gaelic". The weather that day was pretty bad (but typical for Ireland in October!) due to the amount of rain etc the ground had more cut than we would have liked. For his first start under rules we were optimistic and took many positives from what we saw.
KOTD second start came at Navan and many of the horses from the Wexford race were opposing him again. This race was marred by Jim Feeney running out badly at the 2nd hurdle - thus leaving the 2nd placed KOTD to take up the running. This was not the plan and probably cost him the race, as we would have preferred him to be handy coming over the last - with the hope of nicking it. To his credit though he stuck at the task and was going well until falling at the 2nd last hurdle. I think I speak for all associated with KOTD when I say, we waited with bated breath for jockey Andrew Lynch and KOTD to rise from the turf. Again, the group as a whole were gutted to not finish and possibly nick a place. KOTD was not disgraced by almost making it all, and the form looks solid.
Tomorrow (NYD) will see the blue and white silks of Network Sixty-Five on course for the third time at Tramore. KOTD has had some much needed R&R following his excretions at Navan and Henry believes he is in fine form. If all goes well and he is handy coming over the last - he will receive the biggest cheer from all involved and will get the New Year off to a flyer!
No matter how bad your hangover maybe tomorrow - make sure you are up for the 12.05 @ Tramore - Sky Channel 415.
Come on Knockeenonthedoor and Happy New Year!
Wednesday, 21 December 2011
King Kauto goes for a Long Run - 3m in fact
Boxing Day see's the most anticipated renewal of the King George VI since................... well last year!!
This years most notable absentee from the betting is Denman, the big bull of a horse was put out to pastures new only a few weeks ago. However, his stable-box neighbour Kauto Star has shown a new lease of life, winning the Betfair Chase at Haydock whilst putting current favourite Long Run to the sword. Granted Long Run never goes well fresh and he will definitely come on for his second to Kauto, but if Kauto can jump as he did at Haydock surely there will be only one winner come 3.20 on the 26th.
The rest of the field are no mugs and merit a mention, Master Minded (who is owned by the same owner as Kauto and runs in the same silks) has potential but there are questions over the trip for him. Somersby will try and reverse the form book on Masterminded who has beaten him on no less than four occasions! Nacarat is surely too long in the tooth now and I can't see him improving on his 4th place he achieved last year. Captain Chris is my pick of the rest and will be featuring in my tri-cast selection, he has been in the frame in some good races this year and could easily feature if one of the big two slip up.
The ante-post betting has changed over the past 12 hours and as usual the bookies have trimmed any sort of fat off their prices. Long Run and Kauto Star have been slashed into 5/4 & 7/2 respectively whilst Master Minded has been pushed out to 11/2.
My selections for the King George VI are as follows:
1. Long Run
2. Kauto Star - available at 4/1 with Ladbrokes
3. Captain Chris - available at 8/1 with Ladbrokes
My head says Long Run but my heart is saying Kauto Star - have a good Christmas.
FREE BETS TO BE AWARE OF - follow the links on the outside of the blog or at Freepunt
CORAL - will match 50% of your stake, up yo £100 - this bet is for new and customers already with them. All you need to do is enter the code: RELOAD100 to qualify for this offer. e.g. deposit & stake £200 - you receive a free bet for £100.
LADBROKES - new customers only - deposit and stake £50 as your first bet, receive a free £50 bet.
This years most notable absentee from the betting is Denman, the big bull of a horse was put out to pastures new only a few weeks ago. However, his stable-box neighbour Kauto Star has shown a new lease of life, winning the Betfair Chase at Haydock whilst putting current favourite Long Run to the sword. Granted Long Run never goes well fresh and he will definitely come on for his second to Kauto, but if Kauto can jump as he did at Haydock surely there will be only one winner come 3.20 on the 26th.
The rest of the field are no mugs and merit a mention, Master Minded (who is owned by the same owner as Kauto and runs in the same silks) has potential but there are questions over the trip for him. Somersby will try and reverse the form book on Masterminded who has beaten him on no less than four occasions! Nacarat is surely too long in the tooth now and I can't see him improving on his 4th place he achieved last year. Captain Chris is my pick of the rest and will be featuring in my tri-cast selection, he has been in the frame in some good races this year and could easily feature if one of the big two slip up.
The ante-post betting has changed over the past 12 hours and as usual the bookies have trimmed any sort of fat off their prices. Long Run and Kauto Star have been slashed into 5/4 & 7/2 respectively whilst Master Minded has been pushed out to 11/2.
My selections for the King George VI are as follows:
1. Long Run
2. Kauto Star - available at 4/1 with Ladbrokes
3. Captain Chris - available at 8/1 with Ladbrokes
My head says Long Run but my heart is saying Kauto Star - have a good Christmas.
FREE BETS TO BE AWARE OF - follow the links on the outside of the blog or at Freepunt
CORAL - will match 50% of your stake, up yo £100 - this bet is for new and customers already with them. All you need to do is enter the code: RELOAD100 to qualify for this offer. e.g. deposit & stake £200 - you receive a free bet for £100.
LADBROKES - new customers only - deposit and stake £50 as your first bet, receive a free £50 bet.
Friday, 9 December 2011
Cheltenham or Christmas Shopping?
Well today throws up some of the stars of the jump racing world at the most prestigious racecourse in the British Isles. So I'm faced with the dilemma of starting the Christmas shopping or a day at the coalface robbing the bookies blind???
Many of the fields from last months meet return - with some new challengers from across the Irish sea.
Who will come out on top - will Nicholls assert his grip on the trainers championship or will Nicky bring his A game & repeat his 7 winner haul?
An interesting read is the below blog which points you in the right direction for a tidy profit.
Narrowing the Field - courtesy of @Ruairc
I will be heeding some of the advice and be backing the following selections:
12.00 - Solix 11/10
1.45 - Mostly Bob 6/1
2.55 - Oscargo 5/4
I know they are quite skinny in price but I think these are nailed on to win.
Happy punting and make sure to use the free bet links on the blog.
Many of the fields from last months meet return - with some new challengers from across the Irish sea.
Who will come out on top - will Nicholls assert his grip on the trainers championship or will Nicky bring his A game & repeat his 7 winner haul?
An interesting read is the below blog which points you in the right direction for a tidy profit.
Narrowing the Field - courtesy of @Ruairc
I will be heeding some of the advice and be backing the following selections:
12.00 - Solix 11/10
1.45 - Mostly Bob 6/1
2.55 - Oscargo 5/4
I know they are quite skinny in price but I think these are nailed on to win.
Happy punting and make sure to use the free bet links on the blog.
Friday, 5 August 2011
THIS WEEKS BLOG FOCUSES ON RUGBY
The Punters Prerogative is back and eager to clean up on some decent value available this weekend. There is plenty of racing, football and rugby on and today’s tips are advised with Victor Chandler. I will be backing the following games on the handicap betting:
· England to beat Wales by 7 or more points
· New Zealand to beat Australia by 10 or more points
· Ireland to beat Scotland by 1 or more points
These are all available at odds of 10/11 – and when bet in a treble will return just under £70 for a £10 stake.
England at home, even with an experimental side with a debut for Manu Tuilagi at outside centre, should be far too strong for Wales. A margin of 7 points should be on the board by half time with many players playing for their place on the plane to the RWC.
New Zealand blew a very under strength South African side off the park last week – this will have provided some much needed match practice for the All Blacks. I think they will ratchet the pressure up on Australia from kick off and win by at least 10 points.
The final leg of the treble includes the match from Murrayfield – Scotland vs. Ireland. Both sides will be understrength but I feel the Irish have enough class to win by at least a point.
I may have a cheeky punt on James Haskell to score the first try for England @ 20/1 – he is a terrific ball carrier and will be anchoring the scrum at no. 8. He is key for the pack to function and hopefully will unlock the flood gates for the English to hammer the Taff’s!!
Sunday, 3 July 2011
Good morning Punters - what an anti-climax the boxing was last night! I can't believe an event that takes so much revenue can't get things to run to schedule, or organise enough security to protect a boxer on his entrance. Haye undoubtedly lost to a more superior fighter in size and skill but his excuses about his toe are wide of the mark.
The damp squib that was the boxing match was meant to be the highlight of the weekend - but I think the men's singles finals at Wimbledon will be of a much higher calibre. My pick of Nadal to dominate Djokovic looks good vale at the 6/4 advised, I will also be backing Nadal in 3 sets to nil @ 3/1.
Yesterdays horse racing only showed a small return - with the impressive SoYouThink being the nap of the picks returning at even money and Start Right only getting a place after being unlucky in running for the 2nd race running!
Today's horse racing picks are both abroad - I have layed Brown Panther in the 4.35 at Hamburg, I can't see this winning after losing serious weight after Ascot. £17 layed for £39 on Betfair seems a fair wager.
My second pick is Zoffany in the 2.45 at Chantilly - aiden O'brien's stable is in peak form and should claim this prize in a small field. Early rides were az high as 9/4 but now 6/4 is looking good value.
Best of luck
The damp squib that was the boxing match was meant to be the highlight of the weekend - but I think the men's singles finals at Wimbledon will be of a much higher calibre. My pick of Nadal to dominate Djokovic looks good vale at the 6/4 advised, I will also be backing Nadal in 3 sets to nil @ 3/1.
Yesterdays horse racing only showed a small return - with the impressive SoYouThink being the nap of the picks returning at even money and Start Right only getting a place after being unlucky in running for the 2nd race running!
Today's horse racing picks are both abroad - I have layed Brown Panther in the 4.35 at Hamburg, I can't see this winning after losing serious weight after Ascot. £17 layed for £39 on Betfair seems a fair wager.
My second pick is Zoffany in the 2.45 at Chantilly - aiden O'brien's stable is in peak form and should claim this prize in a small field. Early rides were az high as 9/4 but now 6/4 is looking good value.
Best of luck
Saturday, 2 July 2011
Were you on the Friday selections.....? Massive profits off the 6 picks!!
Well Friday was a good day to be following The Punters Prerogative - I managed to pick 4 winners from 6 selections and if you backed them in a Heinz (multiple bet) for a £1 stake you would have scooped close to £900 profit! Can you afford not to follow them today?
I rightly predicted that Ritual would win the first at Sandown and Class is Class followed in the 4th race - i then correctly predicted that both tennis matches would finish 3 sets to 1 - setting up a Nadal / Djokovic final! Returning £930.80 for a £57 bet!
As promised today see's the 2nd day of Sandown with the showpiece race being at 3.10 'The Coral Eclipse' - and two very short priced horses controlling the betting markets. Our tip from Royal Ascot that was pipped on the line by Frankie Dettori's mount Rewilding features and is an even money shot to land the race. So You Think (evens - leave the price as likely to drift out) looked as if he went off too early to get home at Ascot and his old owner Bart Cummings stated he had more to give - i think he will come on for that run and clinch todays £226,000 prize fund. Even money is skinny but trainer Aiden O'brien has been in good form recently and saddled the 1st, 2nd & 3rd in last weeks Irish Derby- he thinks a lot of this horse and describes him as one the best he has had.
I think the first race (2.00) on the card will be run by the ever impressive Margot Did (widely about at 7/1) - Hayley Turner has been in the saddle for this Michael Bell trained winner and is set to continue its run of 2 wins and complete its hat-trick.
The 2.35 is a very competitive race and I am predicting a blanket finish with many in with a chance in the closing stages - I'm not sure the winning distance will be much more than a head! And I will be following another horse that was tipped at Ascot by The Punters Prerogative in Start Right. He was highly fancied to win at Royal Ascot only to finish 6th of 28 in The Royal Hunt Cup - he is facing a smaller field today and I think Kieron Fallon will be able to guide the Luca Cumani trained challenge home. The breeding of this tip is encouraging too with bloodlines back to Sadlers Wells & Footprintsinthesand and the 5/1 seems a fair price.
Finally the 3.40 should be won by the Stoute / Ryan Moore combo Shipsbiscuit - he can be found at 7/2. Last time he finished 4th of 6 to Drunken Sailor and the form of the race looks quite solid - he also has a 2nd to Harris Tweed which all indicates he is set to continue improving on that.
Best of luck to you all - remember this weeks earlier tips - Haye on points in the fight tonight - and we have sided with Nadal to retain his title tomorrow against Djokovic. I may have a little wager on the underdog in the Ladies Singles Final today - Sharapova does have a habit of choking or falling at the final hurdle. Her opponent was knocked out in the semi's and could be set to go one better - Petra Kvitova to win 2-1 or 2-0 is an interesting 4/1 & 11/4.
I rightly predicted that Ritual would win the first at Sandown and Class is Class followed in the 4th race - i then correctly predicted that both tennis matches would finish 3 sets to 1 - setting up a Nadal / Djokovic final! Returning £930.80 for a £57 bet!
As promised today see's the 2nd day of Sandown with the showpiece race being at 3.10 'The Coral Eclipse' - and two very short priced horses controlling the betting markets. Our tip from Royal Ascot that was pipped on the line by Frankie Dettori's mount Rewilding features and is an even money shot to land the race. So You Think (evens - leave the price as likely to drift out) looked as if he went off too early to get home at Ascot and his old owner Bart Cummings stated he had more to give - i think he will come on for that run and clinch todays £226,000 prize fund. Even money is skinny but trainer Aiden O'brien has been in good form recently and saddled the 1st, 2nd & 3rd in last weeks Irish Derby- he thinks a lot of this horse and describes him as one the best he has had.
I think the first race (2.00) on the card will be run by the ever impressive Margot Did (widely about at 7/1) - Hayley Turner has been in the saddle for this Michael Bell trained winner and is set to continue its run of 2 wins and complete its hat-trick.
The 2.35 is a very competitive race and I am predicting a blanket finish with many in with a chance in the closing stages - I'm not sure the winning distance will be much more than a head! And I will be following another horse that was tipped at Ascot by The Punters Prerogative in Start Right. He was highly fancied to win at Royal Ascot only to finish 6th of 28 in The Royal Hunt Cup - he is facing a smaller field today and I think Kieron Fallon will be able to guide the Luca Cumani trained challenge home. The breeding of this tip is encouraging too with bloodlines back to Sadlers Wells & Footprintsinthesand and the 5/1 seems a fair price.
Finally the 3.40 should be won by the Stoute / Ryan Moore combo Shipsbiscuit - he can be found at 7/2. Last time he finished 4th of 6 to Drunken Sailor and the form of the race looks quite solid - he also has a 2nd to Harris Tweed which all indicates he is set to continue improving on that.
Best of luck to you all - remember this weeks earlier tips - Haye on points in the fight tonight - and we have sided with Nadal to retain his title tomorrow against Djokovic. I may have a little wager on the underdog in the Ladies Singles Final today - Sharapova does have a habit of choking or falling at the final hurdle. Her opponent was knocked out in the semi's and could be set to go one better - Petra Kvitova to win 2-1 or 2-0 is an interesting 4/1 & 11/4.
Friday, 1 July 2011
Sandown and Wimbledon
TGI Friday and the end of the month - today see's the men's semi finals at Wimbledon get underway and the weather looks as if we will get a full days play. Well 'our boy Andy' is up against Rafa in the 2nd match on Centre Court, and I will be routing for Andy but my wallet is gonna be screaming for Rafa. He is just under 3/1 to win the match by 3 sets to 1 and crash a Nations hopes of seeing a Brit lift a title at Wimbledon since Fred Perry back in 1936. The first game see's Djokovic take on Roger Federer's conquerer - Jo Wilfred Tsonga and I feel the 5 setter played by the Frenchman against Federer take its toll - I will be backing the same 3 sets to 1 outcome in that too at 14/5.
Wimbledon
Nadal to win 3 sets to 1 - 14/5
Djokovic to win 3 sets to 1 - 14/5
This afternoon see's Sandown kick off there two day Coral Eclipse event with a couple of Class 1 races on the card. It is hard to see beyound the first 3 or 4 in the betting and my selections seem to be at small prices - nonetheless - when backed in a Yankee or a Heinz with the Tennis picks they provide a healthy return!
In the first (2.20) Ritual can defy top weight & a poor high draw and continue where he left off in November, after winning three on the bounce - Jeremy Noseda has the impressive Ryan Moore on board and he is available at 10/3 in most places.
The 2.50 is another 5f sprint and this time Ryan Moore has the favourable low draw on Bear Behind - he is from the same Dam as co-favourite Kohala but is best priced at 11/4 with Stan James.
You can't go wrong with a Richard Hannon 2 year old and he usually has them going well fresh so Nant Season at 7/2 is good value in the 3.25.
And to complete the selections at Sandown in the 4.00 is Class is Class - this horse has showed an improvement since being visored by Sir Michael Stoute last season and went close last time out at Goodwood on the 21st of May with a solid 2nd, he is available at 11/2 with most bookies.
Sandown
2.20 - Ritual 10/3
2.50 - Bear Behind 11/4
3.25 - Nant Season 7/2
4.00 - Class in Class 11/2
More to follow on the blog tomorrow where I will be reviewing Sandown's feature card - and hopefully advising you on what to spend your winnings from today's selections on. Good luck - remember to make the most of the free bet offers advertised on here and the freepunt blog - I will be adding some new offers over the weekend with Sporting Index etc.
I have set up a facebook page so that I don't have to post this on peoples profiles - you may have had an recommendation - can you 'Like' the page and spread the word to your networks - much appreciated.
Wimbledon
Nadal to win 3 sets to 1 - 14/5
Djokovic to win 3 sets to 1 - 14/5
This afternoon see's Sandown kick off there two day Coral Eclipse event with a couple of Class 1 races on the card. It is hard to see beyound the first 3 or 4 in the betting and my selections seem to be at small prices - nonetheless - when backed in a Yankee or a Heinz with the Tennis picks they provide a healthy return!
In the first (2.20) Ritual can defy top weight & a poor high draw and continue where he left off in November, after winning three on the bounce - Jeremy Noseda has the impressive Ryan Moore on board and he is available at 10/3 in most places.
The 2.50 is another 5f sprint and this time Ryan Moore has the favourable low draw on Bear Behind - he is from the same Dam as co-favourite Kohala but is best priced at 11/4 with Stan James.
You can't go wrong with a Richard Hannon 2 year old and he usually has them going well fresh so Nant Season at 7/2 is good value in the 3.25.
And to complete the selections at Sandown in the 4.00 is Class is Class - this horse has showed an improvement since being visored by Sir Michael Stoute last season and went close last time out at Goodwood on the 21st of May with a solid 2nd, he is available at 11/2 with most bookies.
Sandown
2.20 - Ritual 10/3
2.50 - Bear Behind 11/4
3.25 - Nant Season 7/2
4.00 - Class in Class 11/2
More to follow on the blog tomorrow where I will be reviewing Sandown's feature card - and hopefully advising you on what to spend your winnings from today's selections on. Good luck - remember to make the most of the free bet offers advertised on here and the freepunt blog - I will be adding some new offers over the weekend with Sporting Index etc.
I have set up a facebook page so that I don't have to post this on peoples profiles - you may have had an recommendation - can you 'Like' the page and spread the word to your networks - much appreciated.
Thursday, 30 June 2011
Wimbledon & David Haye
Well my tennis bet has been knackered by the loss of Roger Federer to Tsonga - if you did back him on Betfair you could have layed the bet off as short as 1.01 when he was two sets up!! So it looks like I will have to revert back to my original choice of Nadal to retain his - as long as his ankle holds up! He is widely available at 6/4 which seems pretty skinny - I would recommend backing him but with a small saver on Murray to make the final incase the injury is worse than feared - you can get 4's on Murray making the final.
FC Hamburg's ground is the venue of the Heavy Weight Title Boxing match between David Haye & Wladimir Klitschko and there is plenty of value to be had in this match. If you are quick and get on to Betfair you can back both boxers to win on points and make a profit! I have backed Haye at 12.5 and covered my bet with a small saver punt on Klitschko @ 5's! Both boxers have strong chins and should last the distance, although Haye has been boasting about knocking out the 'Robot' with his 'Amzing speed' that he has recently found! Most heavy weight bouts last the distance and I am pretty sure the cocky Cockney and his travelling fans will see Bitschko 'going home in a fucking Ambulance!'
Please use the links on this page and the FREEPUNT blog to open up new accounts and bet with. There are some great referral rewards for doing so - and you will be helping me out too - please re-post/tweet this blog on and share it with your friends.
FC Hamburg's ground is the venue of the Heavy Weight Title Boxing match between David Haye & Wladimir Klitschko and there is plenty of value to be had in this match. If you are quick and get on to Betfair you can back both boxers to win on points and make a profit! I have backed Haye at 12.5 and covered my bet with a small saver punt on Klitschko @ 5's! Both boxers have strong chins and should last the distance, although Haye has been boasting about knocking out the 'Robot' with his 'Amzing speed' that he has recently found! Most heavy weight bouts last the distance and I am pretty sure the cocky Cockney and his travelling fans will see Bitschko 'going home in a fucking Ambulance!'
Please use the links on this page and the FREEPUNT blog to open up new accounts and bet with. There are some great referral rewards for doing so - and you will be helping me out too - please re-post/tweet this blog on and share it with your friends.
Tuesday, 28 June 2011
Wimbledon & David Haye
Good day to you all, I have been away in Switzerland hence no updates on the blog and no tips. Hope you all had a profit from Ascot and backed many winners and places!
Wimbledon is drawing to a close and there seems to be some good value to be had in the Mens market - my choice is going to be for Roger Federer (@ 9/5 or 2.82) to win his record 7th title (back him on Betfair - so you can exit/lay the bet off if the injury news on Nadal is not as severe as first thought). I had thought that Nadal would win it, but his appearance in the post match conference after the Del Potro win leads me to think he can not make it through to the final with the injury. Novak Djokovic is a tough challenger and has only lost one match this year, whilst I could see Murray losing to Federer in the final - Murray is an interesting 6/4 to make the final which is not a bad shout if I am right about Nadal's injury.
FC Hamburg's ground is the venue of the Heavy Weight Title Boxing match between David Haye & Wladimir Klitschko and there is plenty of value to be had in this match. If you are quick and get on to Betfair you can back both boxers to win on points and make a profit! I have backed Haye at 12.5 and covered my bet with a small saver punt on Klitschko @ 5's! Both boxers have strong chins and should last the distance, although Haye has been boasting about knocking out the 'Robot' with his 'Amzing speed' that he has recently found! Most heavy weight bouts last the distance and I am pretty sure the cocky Cockney and his travelling fans will see Bitschko 'going home in a fucking Ambulance!'
Please use the links on this page and the FREEPUNT blog to open up new accounts and bet with. There are some great referral rewards for doing so - and you will be helping me out too - please re-post/tweet this blog on and share it with your friends.
Wimbledon is drawing to a close and there seems to be some good value to be had in the Mens market - my choice is going to be for Roger Federer (@ 9/5 or 2.82) to win his record 7th title (back him on Betfair - so you can exit/lay the bet off if the injury news on Nadal is not as severe as first thought). I had thought that Nadal would win it, but his appearance in the post match conference after the Del Potro win leads me to think he can not make it through to the final with the injury. Novak Djokovic is a tough challenger and has only lost one match this year, whilst I could see Murray losing to Federer in the final - Murray is an interesting 6/4 to make the final which is not a bad shout if I am right about Nadal's injury.
FC Hamburg's ground is the venue of the Heavy Weight Title Boxing match between David Haye & Wladimir Klitschko and there is plenty of value to be had in this match. If you are quick and get on to Betfair you can back both boxers to win on points and make a profit! I have backed Haye at 12.5 and covered my bet with a small saver punt on Klitschko @ 5's! Both boxers have strong chins and should last the distance, although Haye has been boasting about knocking out the 'Robot' with his 'Amzing speed' that he has recently found! Most heavy weight bouts last the distance and I am pretty sure the cocky Cockney and his travelling fans will see Bitschko 'going home in a fucking Ambulance!'
Please use the links on this page and the FREEPUNT blog to open up new accounts and bet with. There are some great referral rewards for doing so - and you will be helping me out too - please re-post/tweet this blog on and share it with your friends.
Friday, 17 June 2011
Well yesterday proved to be fruitful if you backed my tips in an e/w Yankee - with three placed horses at 16's, 8's & 6's rewarded a £90 return! Not winners but there was profit at least. Whilst our guest tipster Dermo got a winner and a nice place at 16's - an improvement but a long way to go.
Todays tips for Royal Ascot Day 4
Owen Dermo
2.30 Inetrobel 8/1 Teolane 7/4
3.05 Nathaniel 3/1 Glens Diamond 10/1
3.45 Joviality 9/1 Theyskens Theory 6/1
4.25 Shamali 14/1 Green Destiny 15/8
Again I would back these in an e/w yankee or Lucky 15 - Final Day tomorrow - tips will be up on the blog early after the Morning Line.
Good luck
Todays tips for Royal Ascot Day 4
Owen Dermo
2.30 Inetrobel 8/1 Teolane 7/4
3.05 Nathaniel 3/1 Glens Diamond 10/1
3.45 Joviality 9/1 Theyskens Theory 6/1
4.25 Shamali 14/1 Green Destiny 15/8
Again I would back these in an e/w yankee or Lucky 15 - Final Day tomorrow - tips will be up on the blog early after the Morning Line.
Good luck
Thursday, 16 June 2011
ROYAL ASCOT DAY 3
Well Day 3 is here already and the rain looks as if it is here to stay for the coming week! That means one thing - that hopefully the favourites are going to get beat..............see below for today's tips from myself & Mr O'brien. You may have noticed that I have changed his picture - and unless he starts picking winners I will have to replace it with an even dodgier one!
Ascot Owen Dermo
2.30 Crown Dependency 7/1 Charles the Great 20/1
3.05 Zain Al Boldan 9/1 Fields of Miracles 33/1
3.45 Opinion Poll 16/1 Fame & Glory 3/1
4.25 Polar Kite 22/1
5.35 Census 6/1
Best case scenario is to place these in a Lucky 15 or Yankee.
Let us not forget that the US Open starts later this afternoon and the 1st day 3 balls have thrown up a very interesting group with the Worlds Top 3 playing against each other - Donald, Westwood & Kaymer. I am going to shy away from picking the winner of the 3 ball although Kaymer is an attractive 23/10 to post the best score. Instead I'll be cheering on the left-hander Phil Mickleson to win the Outright - at an attractive 16/1.
Dermo is going to be routing for the friendly German Martin Kaymer at some great value of 30/1.
PaddyPower are offering e/w odds and paying to 6 places so are my choice to back with
Please check out the offers on Free Bet Offers - as they give good value but also protect your prices. I had 3 winners on a Yankee (bet online with PPower) on Tuesday which paid just over £50 and a friend did the same bet with Ladbrokes (in shop) but received £24!! And did not get a free bet - its well worth betting online as most bookies will offer Best Odds Guaranteed.
Good Luck
Ascot Owen Dermo
2.30 Crown Dependency 7/1 Charles the Great 20/1
3.05 Zain Al Boldan 9/1 Fields of Miracles 33/1
3.45 Opinion Poll 16/1 Fame & Glory 3/1
4.25 Polar Kite 22/1
5.35 Census 6/1
Best case scenario is to place these in a Lucky 15 or Yankee.
Let us not forget that the US Open starts later this afternoon and the 1st day 3 balls have thrown up a very interesting group with the Worlds Top 3 playing against each other - Donald, Westwood & Kaymer. I am going to shy away from picking the winner of the 3 ball although Kaymer is an attractive 23/10 to post the best score. Instead I'll be cheering on the left-hander Phil Mickleson to win the Outright - at an attractive 16/1.
Dermo is going to be routing for the friendly German Martin Kaymer at some great value of 30/1.
PaddyPower are offering e/w odds and paying to 6 places so are my choice to back with
Please check out the offers on Free Bet Offers - as they give good value but also protect your prices. I had 3 winners on a Yankee (bet online with PPower) on Tuesday which paid just over £50 and a friend did the same bet with Ladbrokes (in shop) but received £24!! And did not get a free bet - its well worth betting online as most bookies will offer Best Odds Guaranteed.
Good Luck
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